Wednesday, February 12, 2014

So much data, so little understanding

Big Data, Meta Data?  Just consider the thousands of weather monitors working daily around the world, the thousands  more locations monitored by satellite.  Pile this onto archaeological records of CO2, temperature, rainfall, ocean saline and acidity, pollen.  From ice 800,000 years old, from hair and teeth a hundred thousand years old, from amber, from shells, from the mud under glaciers, the data pours in.  All this indicates a trend that says we are warming, acidifying the ocean, polluting and killing.  Yet, every week if you prowl the environmental sites some prediction or trend is changed.  But in virtually every example the rate of harm we are doing is set steeper, sooner, more dire.  Deniers grab each modification to the data as proof of uncertainty and lies, when it is in fact a refinement, proving over and over the evidence and models are on the right track.

My son has a friend, a professor of "big data".  We have so much of it, a new science is developing just to organize it, and see into it, locate trends that are not apparent due to the massive amount of it.  As you might know, the NSA and NASA are pretty good at it already.  Some retailers are trying to get good at it (not so happy about that). Most every field of science has so much data scattered in labs,  libraries, computers and publications around the world, getting a handle on this is what big data is going to do, and fast.  The overwhelming certainty of some issues are going to be tough to put off with "doubt" or "faith" in the next few years.  Can't turn back progress, so I hope for the best.  As the data out there becomes more organized and more firm in it's trends it's going to fall hard on the Luddites of climate denial and some religious/political issues.

2 comments:

  1. "Yet, every week if you prowl the environmental sites some prediction or trend is changed. But in virtually every example the rate of harm we are doing is set steeper, sooner, more dire."

    For quite a few years now that has been the message. That the rate of acceleration of what ever study has increased much more than projected.

    I actually believe this and said to a friend who takes a bit different position that I think we are watching this planet die and that it's happening so quickly now it's literally happening right before our eyes.

    I saw this this morning.
    http://summitcountyvoice.com/2014/02/12/climate-too-warm-for-equatorial-fish/

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    1. Thanks. Reduced fish populations from higher water temps and increased acidity, pollution, coupled with growing populations and over fishing, well it ain't good. But it could be made less of a problem if the world would set fishing limits in some critical areas, along with stricter pollution standards.

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