Hotter world means lower grain production

Kansas and Oklahoma west of the I-35 corridor to the Rockies it's dry and sandpaper scratchy.  Texas is dry and on fire, the state that would secede to compete with Ethiopia now wants federal aid.  Wheat prices jumped 20 cents (to 7.76 bshl) last week with news of wheat conditions in Kansas and Russia.  40% of the wheat in Kansas is rated poor.  Russia has lowered it's estimates following last summers record temperatures and forecast for a hot spring.  I have a few acres of wheat, it looks good, but experts say the head is small, fewer berries in it.  Western parts of the state it has never been so bad.  Almost no rain for 2 years.  Some fields are bare, nothing germinated, nothing grew, others have only enough growing to slow the wind erosion.  Irrigated farm land prices are rocketing up.  In my area no new wells can be drilled, there is a limit to what can be mined, as it is the grandkids may not have any water.  I had 140'ish acres of irrigated corn the last few cycles this year I rotate to soybeans.

What's this mean for you?  Higher food prices.  The world competes for these grains, and with China leading the way, they can pay any price, and all you have to do to insure this is keep buying made in China.  Your pasta and bread will go up a little.  Your meats and dairy will go up a lot from higher grain prices and less forage (grasses and alfalfa)  The great pastures of the western states will be dirt fields by mid sumer, those cattle will have to be fed far more hay than normal and that will have to come from far away states or off irrigated land.  The national herd is shrinking, meaning ranchers are keeping fewer cows for breeding as the care and feeding for these will be tough for most, impossible for some.  Either way, this is a good time to get off meat, the savings is cash and cleaner heart tubes.

Additionally this accelerates the feed back loop of global warming.  Take the temperature 3 feet above  bare earth in the sunlight on a hot afternoon, then go into a lush green field of grass or wheat or wildflowers and duplicate the sample.  You will find a considerable variation, the field of dirt should be 10 to 15° F warmer.  Now expand the bare earth area to include significant portions of the central strip of states responsible for most the nations wheat, Texas to North Dakota.  This is what is meant by climate feed back loops; if it gets hot enough to kill the vegetation off the ground, then it can grow to a new high, driving other events, and so acceleration begets acceleration.  This is how the arctic ice is melting, the more it melts the blue water absorbs heat the tundra thaws, one event enables the next, until it all goes down the drain.  Oh, without water, nothing goes down the drain, my bad.